BrandonFigueroa

TomokiKameda

Premier Boxing ChampionsSuper Bantamweight

Prediction

Figueroa's southpaw pressure and a high punch rate should overwhelm Kameda once the fight is on the inside.

Prediction
Brandon Figueroa by late stoppage
Betting Market
Figueroa by KO/TKO
Confidence
67%

Win Probability

Brandon Figueroa66%
Tomoki Kameda34%

Fight Analysis

Figueroa is a high-output southpaw who does not give you the center. Kameda is a veteran who can box when he has space. Space is the thing Figueroa takes away. If Kameda cannot keep him off for three minutes, the later rounds get ugly.

Recent Form

Figueroa's recent 122-pound nights have been wars he usually wins. Kameda's tape is a skilled, older 122-pounder who needs a referee and a jab.

Fighting Style

Figueroa: walk in, both hands, body, southpaw left. Kameda: jab, pivot, counter. If Kameda is on the ropes in round four, the finish is in play.

Key Statistics

Punches thrown should crush in Figueroa's favor. Kameda needs a plus jab and a low body-shot count against him. If those fail, the TKO market is live.

Weight / Reach / Stance

Figueroa is the more compact pressure southpaw. Kameda needs whatever reach he has. It only counts if he uses the jab.

Knockout / Stoppage Record

Figueroa's engine plus pressure is why the pick is a late stoppage. Kameda can hear the bell if he spoils, but that is a losing card more often than not.

Betting Insights

Figueroa by KO/TKO. Inside distance. Kameda by decision is the only dog that needs Figueroa to gas — do not count on it.

Final Prediction

Pick Brandon Figueroa by late stoppage. Confidence 67. Win split 66–34. Take the pressure method.