SebastianFundora

ErmalHadribeaj

Premier Boxing ChampionsSuper Welterweight

Prediction

Fundora's southpaw jab from a cruiser-like frame at 154 should break Hadribeaj down from range.

Prediction
Sebastian Fundora by late stoppage
Betting Market
Fundora by KO/TKO
Confidence
74%

Win Probability

Sebastian Fundora73%
Ermal Hadribeaj27%

Fight Analysis

Fundora is a super-welter with a height and reach that does not belong at 154. Hadribeaj has to get inside that jab without walking onto the left. PBC nights at this size often end when the tall southpaw stops missing.

Recent Form

Fundora's recent 154-pound nights have been about that jab and a finishing left. Hadribeaj is a shorter, durable man whose path is to make it ugly, not to outbox the frame.

Fighting Style

Fundora southpaw: jab from the clouds, left straight, uppercut when you duck. Hadribeaj: duck, rush, hope. If Fundora keeps him at the end of the arm, it is a long night.

Key Statistics

Jab thrown and landed should be a mismatch. Power connect in the middle rounds is the finish. If Hadribeaj's punches landed stay low, the TKO is coming.

Weight / Reach / Stance

This is the frame fight on the card. Fundora's height and reach at super welter are the whole story. Hadribeaj has to ignore that and fight small.

Knockout / Stoppage Record

Fundora's knockout share plus the size gap is why the pick is a late stoppage. Hadribeaj can last if he clinches, but that is not a winning card.

Betting Insights

Fundora by KO/TKO. Inside the distance. A huge moneyline on a points win is the worse number if the method is up.

Final Prediction

Pick Sebastian Fundora by late stoppage. Confidence 74. Win split 73–27. Buy the size and the method.